Victor Arias
Candidate · U.S. House · Florida
Democrat · Challenger4%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatFlorida, district 19
AgainstJim Schwartzel (R)
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
The district
FL-19 · Florida
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Attorney & '24 Lee County School Superintendent Nominee.
The campaign · in their wordsariasforcongress.us · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
Household affordability and local business
“Invest in education.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Infrastructure, resilience and recovery
“Invest in infrastructure and education.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Clean water and the regional economy
“Protect the environment and clean water.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 12 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 3 statements
L-lean
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · Florida House, district 19 · 7 days out
Jim SchwartzelRepublican · challenger · Right 37 from statements95%Victor AriasDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 16 from statements4%3716
53 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Oct 14, 2026
$70k
Raised
$31k
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$21k
Itemized · 67% of individual
33
Named donors
94%
Itemized from Florida
By occupation
$9k
$3k
$3k
$2k
$750
By state
$20k
$1k
$250
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“Support Medicare's ability to negotiate prescription drug prices and cap out-of-pocket costs.”
“Fight for rural and underserved FL-19 communities with expanded access to healthcare providers.”
“Protect Medicare and Medicaid — oppose any efforts to cut benefits or increase the eligibility age.”
On the ballot with them · Florida, Nov 3, 2026
FL Senate · special
Ashley Moody (R) · 89%
vs. Angie Nixon (D) · 12%
FL Governor · open seat
Byron Donalds (R) · 79%
vs. David Jolly (D) · 22%
FL-1
Jimmy Patronis (R) · 97%
vs. Gay Valimont (D) · 4%
FL-2 · open seat
Austin Rogers (R) · 90%
vs. Amanda Marie Green (D) · 8%
FL-3
Kat Cammack (R) · 95%
vs. Seth Harp (D) · 5%
FL-4 · open seat
Aaron Bean (R) · 83%
vs. LaShonda "LJ" Holloway (D) · 18%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Victor Arias
Candidate · U.S. House · Florida
Democrat · Challenger4%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Schwartzel (R)
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1
Household affordability and local business
“Invest in education.”
Plank 2
Infrastructure, resilience and recovery
“Invest in infrastructure and education.”
Plank 3
Clean water and the regional economy
“Protect the environment and clean water.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · ariasforcongress.us
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Health careL-lean 15
L-lean, 15 points from center
Crime and justiceL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
EducationL-lean 13
L-lean, 13 points from center
The race · FL-19 · 7 days out
Jim SchwartzelRepublican · challenger · Right 37 from statements95%Victor AriasDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 16 from statements4%3716
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Oct 14, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 67% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“Support Medicare's ability to negotiate prescription drug prices and cap out-of-pocket costs.”
“Fight for rural and underserved FL-19 communities with expanded access to healthcare providers.”
“Protect Medicare and Medicaid — oppose any efforts to cut benefits or increase the eligibility age.”
On the ballot with them · Florida
FL SenateMoody (R) vs. Nixon (D)89% · 12%FL Governor · open seatDonalds (R) vs. Jolly (D)79% · 22%FL-1Patronis (R) vs. Valimont (D)97% · 4%FL-2 · open seatRogers (R) vs. Green (D)90% · 8%FL-3Cammack (R) vs. Harp (D)95% · 5%FL-4 · open seatBean (R) vs. Holloway (D)83% · 18%
All 30 Florida races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll