← All races
U.S. House · Florida · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Florida House, district 4
Aaron Bean (Republican) against LaShonda "LJ" Holloway (Democrat).
Where they stand · 62 points apart
Holloway is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Aaron BeanrecordLaShonda "LJ" Hollowayestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBean$2.5MHolloway$54kItemized, named donorsBean$1MHolloway$36kNamed donorsBean729Holloway53Itemized from FloridaBean65%Holloway72%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Born here. Built here. Fighting for Northeast Florida.”
“plans to CUT #SocialSecurity #Medicare and #Medicaid!” Holloway · X post · Jun 11 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Bean | Kalshi | Republican wins | 82% | 83% | 83% | $28,135 | Open ↗ |
| Aaron Bean | Polymarket | Republican wins | 82% | 83% | 83% | $20,727 | Open ↗ |
| LaShonda "LJ" Holloway | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 17% | 18% | 18% | $46,471 | Open ↗ |
| LaShonda "LJ" Holloway | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 16% | 17% | 16% | $17,155 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Florida ballot
All 29 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll