
Jim Schwartzel
Candidate · U.S. House · Florida
Republican · Challenger95%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatFlorida, district 19
AgainstVictor Arias (D)
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
The district
FL-19 · Florida
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Radio Station Owner & MAGA Activist.
The campaign · in their wordsjimforcongress.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
Secure the border and deport illegal immigrants
“I'll stand with President Trump to secure our border, enforce our immigration laws and deport those who are here illegally.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Lower the cost of living
“Families here are paying too much for groceries, housing and insurance.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Make the Trump tax cuts permanent
“I'll vote to make President Trump's tax cuts permanent so Southwest Florida families and small businesses keep more of what they earn.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 9 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 8 statements
Right
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · Florida House, district 19 · 7 days out
Jim SchwartzelRepublican · challenger · Right 37 from statements95%
Victor AriasDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 16 from statements4%3716
53 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$2.8M
Raised
$1.2M
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$1.1M
Itemized · 93% of individual
346
Named donors
86%
Itemized from Florida
By occupation
$424k
$76k
$55k
$33k
$29k
By state
$949k
$96k
$10k
$10k
$7k
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“If we expect ICE to enforce the law and do the job right, they must be fully funded.”
“We finally have a President willing to enforce the law, secure the border, and put America first.”
“Jim will fight to finish the wall, enforce immigration laws, and stop the flood of illegal immigrants”
On the ballot with them · Florida, Nov 3, 2026
FL Senate · special
Ashley Moody (R) · 89%
vs. Angie Nixon (D) · 12%
FL Governor · open seat
Byron Donalds (R) · 79%
vs. David Jolly (D) · 22%
FL-1
Jimmy Patronis (R) · 97%
vs. Gay Valimont (D) · 4%
FL-2 · open seat
Austin Rogers (R) · 90%
vs. Amanda Marie Green (D) · 8%
FL-3
Kat Cammack (R) · 95%
vs. Seth Harp (D) · 5%
FL-4 · open seat
Aaron Bean (R) · 83%
vs. LaShonda "LJ" Holloway (D) · 18%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll

Jim Schwartzel
Candidate · U.S. House · Florida
Republican · Challenger95%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Arias (D)
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1
Secure the border and deport illegal immigrants
“I'll stand with President Trump to secure our border, enforce our immigration laws and deport those who are here illegally.”
Plank 2
Lower the cost of living
“Families here are paying too much for groceries, housing and insurance.”
Plank 3
Make the Trump tax cuts permanent
“I'll vote to make President Trump's tax cuts permanent so Southwest Florida families and small businesses keep more of what they earn.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · jimforcongress.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
ImmigrationRight 45
Right, 45 points from center
Civil rightsRight 36
Right, 36 points from center
EducationRight 35
Right, 35 points from center
Foreign policyRight 38
Right, 38 points from center
Budget and taxesRight 33
Right, 33 points from center
GunsRight 35
Right, 35 points from center
Crime and justiceRight 30
Right, 30 points from center
The race · FL-19 · 7 days out
Jim SchwartzelRepublican · challenger · Right 37 from statements95%
Victor AriasDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 16 from statements4%3716
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 93% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“If we expect ICE to enforce the law and do the job right, they must be fully funded.”
“We finally have a President willing to enforce the law, secure the border, and put America first.”
“Jim will fight to finish the wall, enforce immigration laws, and stop the flood of illegal immigrants”
On the ballot with them · Florida
FL SenateMoody (R) vs. Nixon (D)89% · 12%FL Governor · open seatDonalds (R) vs. Jolly (D)79% · 22%FL-1Patronis (R) vs. Valimont (D)97% · 4%FL-2 · open seatRogers (R) vs. Green (D)90% · 8%FL-3Cammack (R) vs. Harp (D)95% · 5%FL-4 · open seatBean (R) vs. Holloway (D)83% · 18%
All 30 Florida races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll