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U.S. House · Florida · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Florida House, district 2
Austin Rogers (Republican) against Amanda Marie Green (Democrat).
Where they stand · 56 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Austin RogersestimateAmanda Marie Greenestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedRogers$1.3MGreen$609kItemized, named donorsRogers$739kGreen$512kNamed donorsRogers442Green401Itemized from FloridaRogers69%Green80%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“It is not feasible to get every single illegal alien out of this country” Rogers · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
“"North Florida deserves a true representative who shows up to answer our questions, listens to their constituents, and puts the people first. We need a Congress that doesn't sell our future to the highest bidder. As your next Congresswoman, I promise I'll fight for you and your family's interests."”
“She will work to expand Medicare” Green · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Rogers | Kalshi | Republican wins | 92% | 93% | 92% | $4,973 | Open ↗ |
| Austin Rogers | Polymarket | Republican wins | 91% | 92% | 90% | $11,321 | Open ↗ |
| Amanda Marie Green | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 8% | 9% | 8% | $6,431 | Open ↗ |
| Amanda Marie Green | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 7% | 9% | 8% | $7,762 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Florida ballot
All 29 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll