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U.S. House · Florida · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Florida House, district 3
Kat Cammack (Republican, incumbent) against Seth Harp (Democrat).
Where they stand · 59 points apart
Harp is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Kat CammackrecordSeth Harpestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedCammack$2.4MHarp$136kItemized, named donorsCammack$548kHarp$45kNamed donorsCammack744Harp89Itemized from FloridaCammack56%Harp94%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“A Conservative With Grit.”
“The “student social movement.” Sure. 🤔” Cammack · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“Fighting for Florida's 3rd Congressional District!”
“Protect and strengthen Social Security by raising the payroll tax cap to $250,000” Harp · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kat Cammack | Kalshi | Republican wins | 94% | 95% | 95% | $2,907 | Open ↗ |
| Kat Cammack | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 95% | $19,297 | Open ↗ |
| Seth Harp | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | $5,038 | Open ↗ |
| Seth Harp | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | $46,506 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Florida ballot
All 29 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll