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Governor · Florida · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Florida Governor
Byron Donalds (Republican) against David Jolly (Democrat).
Where they stand · 64 points apart
Jolly is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Byron DonaldsrecordDavid Jollyestimate
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Fighting to defend the Florida dream.”
“Good cars. Great company. Proud American veterans. Thank you to The Barn at the Maple for bringing us together in Jacksonville. Florida is proud of the men and women who served, and I’ll always have their backs.” Donalds · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“On Day One, I’ll issue a one year moratorium on AI data centers.” Jolly · X post · Oct 17 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Donalds | Kalshi | Republican wins | 78% | 79% | 79% | $2,613,134 | Open ↗ |
| Byron Donalds | Polymarket | Republican wins | 79% | 80% | 80% | $299,861 | Open ↗ |
| David Jolly | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 21% | 22% | 22% | $2,017,276 | Open ↗ |
| David Jolly | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 20% | 21% | 21% | $213,781 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Florida ballot
All 29 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll