Phil Ehr
Candidate · U.S. House · Florida
Democrat · Challenger6%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatFlorida, district 28
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
The district
FL-28 · Florida
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Retired Navy Commander & Frequent Candidate.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 6 statements
Left
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · Florida House, district 28 · 7 days out
Carlos GimenezRepublican · incumbent · Rt-lean 12 on the record95%Phil EhrDemocrat · challenger · Left 29 from statements6%1229
41 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$508k
Raised
$155k
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$134k
Itemized · 86% of individual
495
Named donors
62%
Itemized from Florida
By occupation
$64k
$14k
$13k
$7k
$4k
By state
$83k
$10k
$8k
$7k
$4k
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“NATO countries are our friends”
“The United States should accept Ukrai”
“starting more foreign wars is not the way”
On the ballot with them · Florida, Nov 3, 2026
FL Senate · special
Ashley Moody (R) · 89%
vs. Angie Nixon (D) · 12%
FL Governor · open seat
Byron Donalds (R) · 79%
vs. David Jolly (D) · 22%
FL-1
Jimmy Patronis (R) · 97%
vs. Gay Valimont (D) · 4%
FL-2 · open seat
Austin Rogers (R) · 90%
vs. Amanda Marie Green (D) · 8%
FL-3
Kat Cammack (R) · 95%
vs. Seth Harp (D) · 5%
FL-4 · open seat
Aaron Bean (R) · 83%
vs. LaShonda "LJ" Holloway (D) · 18%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Phil Ehr
Candidate · U.S. House · Florida
Democrat · Challenger6%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Gimenez (R), inc.
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Housing and techLeft 29
Left, 29 points from center
Energy and landLeft 31
Left, 31 points from center
Foreign policyLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
ImmigrationMixed
Mixed
Crime and justiceLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
Health careL-lean 15
L-lean, 15 points from center
Budget and taxesLeft 39
Left, 39 points from center
EducationLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
Civil rightsMixed
Mixed
The race · FL-28 · 7 days out
Carlos GimenezRepublican · incumbent · Rt-lean 12 on the record95%Phil EhrDemocrat · challenger · Left 29 from statements6%1229
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 86% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“NATO countries are our friends”
“The United States should accept Ukrai”
“starting more foreign wars is not the way”
On the ballot with them · Florida
FL SenateMoody (R) vs. Nixon (D)89% · 12%FL Governor · open seatDonalds (R) vs. Jolly (D)79% · 22%FL-1Patronis (R) vs. Valimont (D)97% · 4%FL-2 · open seatRogers (R) vs. Green (D)90% · 8%FL-3Cammack (R) vs. Harp (D)95% · 5%FL-4 · open seatBean (R) vs. Holloway (D)83% · 18%
All 30 Florida races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll