Bale Dalton
Candidate · U.S. House · Florida
Democrat · Challenger26%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatFlorida, district 7
AgainstRyan Elijah (R)
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
The district
FL-7 · Florida
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Ex-NASA Chief of Staff, Retired Navy Officer & Iraq/Afghan War Veteran.
The campaign · in their wordsbaledalton.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
Making Florida Affordable Again
“My first priority in Congress will be working to make Florida affordable again.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Fixing Our Broken Health Care System and Protecting Retirement
“We need to elect members of Congress who will restore funding to Medicaid, reverse premium cuts, and protect Social Security and Medicare for generations to come.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Fighting Government Waste & Giving Working Families a Tax Break
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 29 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 7 statements
L-lean
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · Florida House, district 7 · 7 days out
Ryan ElijahRepublican · challenger · Right 30 from statements76%Bale DaltonDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 16 from statements26%3016
46 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$2.1M
Raised
$1.8M
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$1.6M
Itemized · 87% of individual
1,150
Named donors
39%
Itemized from Florida
By occupation
$421k
$177k
$151k
$37k
$32k
By state
$613k
$194k
$172k
$104k
$88k
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“it’s time to elect politicians who will stand up for reproductive rights”
“We need to elect members of Congress who will restore funding to Medicaid”
“We need to build on the Affordable Care Act to lower premiums, deductibles, and surprise medical bills”
On the ballot with them · Florida, Nov 3, 2026
FL Senate · special
Ashley Moody (R) · 89%
vs. Angie Nixon (D) · 12%
FL Governor · open seat
Byron Donalds (R) · 79%
vs. David Jolly (D) · 22%
FL-1
Jimmy Patronis (R) · 97%
vs. Gay Valimont (D) · 4%
FL-2 · open seat
Austin Rogers (R) · 90%
vs. Amanda Marie Green (D) · 8%
FL-3
Kat Cammack (R) · 95%
vs. Seth Harp (D) · 5%
FL-4 · open seat
Aaron Bean (R) · 83%
vs. LaShonda "LJ" Holloway (D) · 18%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Bale Dalton
Candidate · U.S. House · Florida
Democrat · Challenger26%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Elijah (R)
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“Country over politics.”
Plank 1
Making Florida Affordable Again
“My first priority in Congress will be working to make Florida affordable again.”
Plank 2
Fixing Our Broken Health Care System and Protecting Retirement
“We need to elect members of Congress who will restore funding to Medicaid, reverse premium cuts, and protect Social Security and Medicare for generations to come.”
Plank 3
Fighting Government Waste & Giving Working Families a Tax Break
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · baledalton.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Health careLeft 33
Left, 33 points from center
Budget and taxesL-lean 17
L-lean, 17 points from center
Crime and justiceRight 23
Right, 23 points from center
Business and laborMixed
Mixed
Energy and landL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
Foreign policyLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
TradeLeft 25
Left, 25 points from center
GunsL-lean 17
L-lean, 17 points from center
Civil rightsL-lean 13
L-lean, 13 points from center
The race · FL-7 · 7 days out
Ryan ElijahRepublican · challenger · Right 30 from statements76%Bale DaltonDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 16 from statements26%3016
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 87% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“it’s time to elect politicians who will stand up for reproductive rights”
“We need to elect members of Congress who will restore funding to Medicaid”
“We need to build on the Affordable Care Act to lower premiums, deductibles, and surprise medical bills”
On the ballot with them · Florida
FL SenateMoody (R) vs. Nixon (D)89% · 12%FL Governor · open seatDonalds (R) vs. Jolly (D)79% · 22%FL-1Patronis (R) vs. Valimont (D)97% · 4%FL-2 · open seatRogers (R) vs. Green (D)90% · 8%FL-3Cammack (R) vs. Harp (D)95% · 5%FL-4 · open seatBean (R) vs. Holloway (D)83% · 18%
All 30 Florida races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll