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U.S. House · Florida · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Florida House, district 7
Ryan Elijah (Republican) against Bale Dalton (Democrat).
Where they stand · 46 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Ryan ElijahestimateBale Daltonestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedElijah$703kDalton$2.1MItemized, named donorsElijah$453kDalton$1.6MNamed donorsElijah257Dalton1,150Itemized from FloridaElijah93%Dalton39%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Elijah | Kalshi | Republican wins | 75% | 76% | 76% | $40,011 | Open ↗ |
| Ryan Elijah | Polymarket | Republican wins | 73% | 75% | 77% | $35,306 | Open ↗ |
| Bale Dalton | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 23% | 25% | 26% | $56,180 | Open ↗ |
| Bale Dalton | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 24% | 26% | 26% | $35,489 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Florida ballot
All 29 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll