Steve Toth
Candidate · U.S. House · Texas
Republican · Challenger92%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatTexas, district 2
AgainstShaun Finnie (D)
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
The district
TX-2 · Texas
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: State Rep., Businessman & Pastor.
The campaign · in their wordsstevetothforcongress.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“Conservative Values. Real Results.”
Plank 1 · campaign site
Securing Our Southern Border
“As a member of the Texas House Appropriations Committee, I put the sovereignty of the Texas border above all else.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Fighting Liberal Indoctrination
“I led the charge in the Texas House to eliminate Critical Race Theory (CRT) and Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) from public classrooms and universities.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Our National Security
“As a member of the Texas House, I worked to ensure China, Iran, and other foreign adversaries couldn't own Texas land.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 9 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 7 statements
Right
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · Texas House, district 2 · 7 days out
Steve TothRepublican · challenger · Right 38 from statements92%
Shaun FinnieDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 22 from statements6%3822
60 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$976k
Raised
$769k
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$676k
Itemized · 92% of individual
318
Named donors
93%
Itemized from Texas
By occupation
$172k
$76k
$72k
$27k
$27k
By state
$629k
$10k
$8k
$4k
$3k
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“2025 SB 12 – Bans social transitioning of minors in public schools.”
“I have been a consistent and staunch defender of our second amendment rights.”
“I will protect every American’s right to defend themselves, their families, and their property.”
On the ballot with them · Texas, Nov 3, 2026
TX Senate · open seat
James Talarico (D) · 66%
vs. Ken Paxton (R) · 35%
TX Governor
Greg Abbott (R) · 67%
vs. Gina Hinojosa (D) · 32%
TX-1
Nathaniel Moran (R) · 95%
vs. Yolanda Prince (D) · 2%
TX-3
Keith Self (R) · 95%
vs. Evan Hunt (D) · 4%
TX-4
Pat Fallon (R) · 94%
vs. Jason Pearce (D) · 1%
TX-5
Lance Gooden (R) · 94%
vs. Chelsey Hockett (D) · 2%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Steve Toth
Candidate · U.S. House · Texas
Republican · Challenger92%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Finnie (D)
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“Conservative Values. Real Results.”
Plank 1
Securing Our Southern Border
“As a member of the Texas House Appropriations Committee, I put the sovereignty of the Texas border above all else.”
Plank 2
Fighting Liberal Indoctrination
“I led the charge in the Texas House to eliminate Critical Race Theory (CRT) and Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) from public classrooms and universities.”
Plank 3
Our National Security
“As a member of the Texas House, I worked to ensure China, Iran, and other foreign adversaries couldn't own Texas land.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · stevetothforcongress.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Civil rightsRight 45
Right, 45 points from center
GunsRight 45
Right, 45 points from center
ImmigrationRight 41
Right, 41 points from center
Crime and justiceRight 37
Right, 37 points from center
EducationRight 43
Right, 43 points from center
TradeRight 35
Right, 35 points from center
Energy and landRight 23
Right, 23 points from center
Budget and taxesRight 23
Right, 23 points from center
Health careRight 28
Right, 28 points from center
The race · TX-2 · 7 days out
Steve TothRepublican · challenger · Right 38 from statements92%Shaun FinnieDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 22 from statements6%3822
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 92% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“2025 SB 12 – Bans social transitioning of minors in public schools.”
“I have been a consistent and staunch defender of our second amendment rights.”
“I will protect every American’s right to defend themselves, their families, and their property.”
On the ballot with them · Texas
TX Senate · open seatTalarico (D) vs. Paxton (R)66% · 35%TX GovernorAbbott (R) vs. Hinojosa (D)67% · 32%TX-1Moran (R) vs. Prince (D)95% · 2%TX-3Self (R) vs. Hunt (D)95% · 4%TX-4Fallon (R) vs. Pearce (D)94% · 1%TX-5Gooden (R) vs. Hockett (D)94% · 2%
All 40 Texas races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll