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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Texas House, district 1
Nathaniel Moran (Republican, incumbent) against Yolanda Prince (Democrat).
Where they stand · 49 points apart
Prince is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Nathaniel MoranrecordYolanda Princeestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMoran$2.3MPrince$20kItemized, named donorsMoran$577kPrince$13kNamed donorsMoran630Prince1Itemized from TexasMoran45%Prince100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Strong Conservative Leadership”
“Honored to be endorsed by @FRCAction! 🇺🇸 FRC Action endorses candidates they believe “will be principled leaders for faith, family, and freedom,” and I’m grateful for their support. I’ll keep working for East Texas every day.” Moran · X post · Oct 16 · ↗
“Community First, Progress Always”
“I support raising the minimum wage to at least $15 per hour” Prince · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Moran | Kalshi | Republican wins | 96% | 99% | 98% | $3,993 | Open ↗ |
| Nathaniel Moran | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 98% | 95% | $5,366 | Open ↗ |
| Yolanda Prince | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | $4,611 | Open ↗ |
| Yolanda Prince | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | $54,795 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll