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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Texas House, district 5
Lance Gooden (Republican, incumbent) against Chelsey Hockett (Democrat).
Where they stand · 67 points apart
Hockett is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Lance GoodenrecordChelsey Hockettestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedGooden$1.5MHockett$35kItemized, named donorsGooden$413kHockett$17kNamed donorsGooden178Hockett20Itemized from TexasGooden65%Hockett73%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“CONSERVATIVE RESULTS. NOT SOUNDBITES.”
“AOC says “there’s no debate” that fossil fuel production should stop. More fossil fuel production means lower energy costs. Please explain how Democrats’ push to ban U.S. energy production will lower gas prices.” Gooden · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“Fighting for ALL Texans.”
“Fully fund public services... Build more public transit.” Hockett · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Gooden | Kalshi | Republican wins | 96% | 98% | 96% | $1,659 | Open ↗ |
| Lance Gooden | Polymarket | Republican wins | 94% | 98% | 94% | $17,212 | Open ↗ |
| Chelsey Hockett | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 4% | 2% | $3,803 | Open ↗ |
| Chelsey Hockett | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 5% | 2% | $47,889 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll