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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Texas House, district 4
Pat Fallon (Republican, incumbent) against Jason Pearce (Democrat).
Where they stand
From their voting record.
Pat Fallonrecord
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedFallon$933kPearce$26kItemized, named donorsFallon$268kPearce$9kNamed donorsFallon158Pearce17Itemized from TexasFallon55%Pearce96%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Great move by the Trump Administration and @DHSgov. Chinese AI platforms like DeepSeek pose a major risk of data transfer to the CCP, which is pursuing every angle to undermine the U.S. Cyber security is national security.” Fallon · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“LEADERSHIP FOR THE PEOPLE”
“THE PLATFORM POLICY PRIORITIES ... 01 Healthcare Medicare for All.” Pearce · Campaign site · Invalid Date · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Fallon | Kalshi | Republican wins | 96% | 97% | 96% | $542 | Open ↗ |
| Pat Fallon | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 98% | 94% | $35,192 | Open ↗ |
| Jason Pearce | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | $4,902 | Open ↗ |
| Jason Pearce | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 3% | 5% | 1% | $57,876 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll