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U.S. House · Texas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Texas House, district 2
Steve Toth (Republican) against Shaun Finnie (Democrat).
Where they stand · 60 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Steve TothestimateShaun Finnieestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedToth$976kFinnie$3.1MItemized, named donorsToth$676kFinnie$791kNamed donorsToth318Finnie379Itemized from TexasToth93%Finnie43%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Toth | Kalshi | Republican wins | 92% | 93% | 93% | $823 | Open ↗ |
| Steve Toth | Polymarket | Republican wins | 92% | 94% | 92% | $17,174 | Open ↗ |
| Shaun Finnie | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 6% | 8% | 6% | $977 | Open ↗ |
| Shaun Finnie | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 6% | 7% | 6% | $16,352 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Texas ballot
All 39 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll