
Stephanie Vargas
Candidate · U.S. House · California
Republican · Challenger5%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatCalifornia, district 33
AgainstPete Aguilar (D), incumbent
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
The district
CA-33 · California
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Colton Chief Deputy City Clerk.
The campaign · in their wordsstephanievargas4congress.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
Public Safety
“I am committed to supporting legislation that enables our Law Enforcement and Fire Service Officials to do their jobs efficiently and effectively.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Law Enforcement
“Public safety is a non-negotiable, and I stand firmly behind the enforcement of our laws and the removal of dangerous criminals from our communities.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Fire Service
“We need to take the common-sense approach to forest management and allow our fire service members the ability to address the root causes of wildfires.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 30 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 6 statements
Right
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · California House, district 33 · 7 days out
Pete AguilarDemocrat · incumbent · Left 28 on the record96%
Stephanie VargasRepublican · challenger · Right 25 from statements5%2825
52 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$721
Raised
$721
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$520
Itemized · 72% of individual
1
Named donors
100%
Itemized from California
By occupation
$520
By state
$520
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“I will vote against 'blank check' spending bills.”
“I will vote to stop bans on American energy. By producing more oil and gas here at home”
“I will champion tax credits for companies that build factories and production lines in our cities.”
On the ballot with them · California, Nov 3, 2026
CA Governor · open seat
Xavier Becerra (D) · 96%
vs. Steve Hilton (R) · 4%
CA-1
Mike McGuire (D) · 97%
vs. James Gallagher (R) · 6%
CA-2
Jared Huffman (D) · 98%
vs. Robin Littau (R) · <1%
CA-3
Ami Bera (D) · 95%
vs. Robb Tucker (R) · 3%
CA-4
Mike Thompson (D) · 71%
vs. Eric Jones (D) · 32%
CA-5
Tom McClintock (R) · 93%
vs. Michael Masuda (D) · 7%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll

Stephanie Vargas
Candidate · U.S. House · California
Republican · Challenger5%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Aguilar (D), inc.
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1
Public Safety
“I am committed to supporting legislation that enables our Law Enforcement and Fire Service Officials to do their jobs efficiently and effectively.”
Plank 2
Law Enforcement
“Public safety is a non-negotiable, and I stand firmly behind the enforcement of our laws and the removal of dangerous criminals from our communities.”
Plank 3
Fire Service
“We need to take the common-sense approach to forest management and allow our fire service members the ability to address the root causes of wildfires.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · stephanievargas4congress.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Energy and landRight 35
Right, 35 points from center
TradeLeft 33
Left, 33 points from center
Budget and taxesRight 35
Right, 35 points from center
Crime and justiceRight 31
Right, 31 points from center
Housing and techL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
EducationMixed
Mixed
Civil rightsRight 33
Right, 33 points from center
Health careRight 28
Right, 28 points from center
The race · CA-33 · 7 days out
Pete AguilarDemocrat · incumbent · Left 28 on the record96%
Stephanie VargasRepublican · challenger · Right 25 from statements5%2825
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 72% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“I will vote against 'blank check' spending bills.”
“I will vote to stop bans on American energy. By producing more oil and gas here at home”
“I will champion tax credits for companies that build factories and production lines in our cities.”
On the ballot with them · California
CA Governor · open seatBecerra (D) vs. Hilton (R)96% · 4%CA-1McGuire (D) vs. Gallagher (R)97% · 6%CA-2Huffman (D) vs. Littau (R)98% · <1%CA-3Bera (D) vs. Tucker (R)95% · 3%CA-4Thompson (D) vs. Jones (D)71% · 32%CA-5McClintock (R) vs. Masuda (D)93% · 7%
All 53 California races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll