Spurna.
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Jay Obernolte

U.S. House · California
On the ballot · Nov 3
$1.5M

Raised, 2025–26

  • Individuals$499k34%
  • PACs$863k59%
  • Transfers & other$94k6%

Top PAC industries

$976k
Office
PartyRepublican
ChamberU.S. House
SeatCalifornia, district 23
Up for electionNov 3, 2026
District
CA-10 · Mark DeSaulnierCA-11 · Nancy PelosiCA-12 · Lateefah SimonCA-13 · Adam GrayCA-14 · Eric SwalwellCA-15 · Kevin MullinCA-16 · Sam T. LiccardoCA-17 · Ro KhannaCA-18 · Zoe LofgrenCA-19 · Jimmy PanettaCA-20 · Vince FongCA-21 · Jim CostaCA-22 · David G. ValadaoCA-24 · Salud O. CarbajalCA-25 · Raul RuizCA-26 · Julia BrownleyCA-27 · George WhitesidesCA-28 · Judy ChuCA-29 · Luz M. RivasCA-30 · Laura FriedmanCA-31 · Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.CA-32 · Brad ShermanCA-33 · Pete AguilarCA-34 · Jimmy GomezCA-35 · Norma J. TorresCA-36 · Ted LieuCA-37 · Sydney Kamlager-DoveCA-38 · Linda T. SánchezCA-39 · Mark TakanoCA-40 · Young KimCA-41 · Ken CalvertCA-42 · Robert GarciaCA-43 · Maxine WatersCA-44 · Nanette Diaz BarragánCA-45 · Derek TranCA-46 · J. Luis CorreaCA-47 · Dave MinCA-48 · Darrell IssaCA-49 · Mike LevinCA-50 · Scott H. PetersCA-51 · Sara JacobsCA-52 · Juan VargasCA-4 · Mike ThompsonCA-3 · Kevin KileyCA-5 · Tom McClintockCA-6 · Ami BeraCA-9 · Josh HarderCA-7 · Doris O. MatsuiCA-1 · James GallagherCA-8 · John GaramendiCA-2 · Jared HuffmanCA-23 · Jay Obernolte
CA-23 · California
FollowCompare
On the ballot · California House, district 23 · Nov 397% party to win· vs. Hodge ↓
The campaign · in their words

“Proven. Conservative. Fighter.”

electjay.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗Page titles and first lines from the campaign’s own site, unedited

Where They Stand

Position from 424 bills and votes and 24 statements, starting from a reputation prior of Right 23 — click any issue to see the reputation, the record and the shift.

Solo viewvs. Hodge · 2026vs. pick…
Obernolte (you're viewing)
Overall
15
Rt-lean
LeftCenterRight
Track is neutral — only the dot's position and distance-from-center number carry meaning.

The 2026 Race

CA-23 race page →
Odds · party to winOct 27
Obernolte (R)97%
Hodge (D)4%
The race · CA-23
Jay ObernolteRepublican · incumbent · Rt-lean 15 on the record97%
Tessa Lynn HodgeDemocrat · challenger · Left 30 from statements4%
3015
45 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Hodge's page →
Money · raised, FEC to Sep 30
Jay Obernolte$1.8M
$615k from individuals · $561k itemized
Tessa Lynn Hodge$123k
$113k from individuals · $64k itemized
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
Odds are a market close, not a poll

What They Care About

How this is measured

Bubble size = how much of Jay Obernolte's sponsored bills, cosponsorships, campaign statements and tweets go to each domain. Votes are left out because they follow committee seats; domains a member's committees handle are discounted a little. Anything from the last 6 months counts double, so a topic they are on about right now grows. Darker = they have broken with their own party more often on that topic: the share of party-line votes since 2009 where they voted against their party's majority (gray = fewer than 8 such votes). Based on 13 sponsored, 146 cosponsored, 44 statements, 395 topical tweets. Click a bubble to open what they support and the bills and tweets behind it; click it again to close.

Federal budget, taxes and spending · 14% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 2 sponsored · 21 cosponsored · 12 statements · 108 tweets · broke with their party on 105 of 280 party-line votesFederal budget 14%Housing, transportation, technology and vice · 14% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 2 sponsored · 14 cosponsored · 6 statements · 100 tweets · broke with their party on 6 of 47 party-line votesHousing 14%Energy, environment, land and agriculture · 13% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 3 sponsored · 20 cosponsored · 11 statements · 33 tweets · broke with their party on 16 of 198 party-line votesEnergy 13%Health care · 13% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 2 sponsored · 31 cosponsored · 0 statements · 81 tweets · broke with their party on 1 of 24 party-line votesHealth care 13%Crime and justice · 12% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 1 sponsored · 14 cosponsored · 5 statements · 148 tweets · broke with their party on 13 of 81 party-line votesCrime 12%Business, finance and labor · 10% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 2 sponsored · 13 cosponsored · 2 statements · 123 tweets · broke with their party on 12 of 102 party-line votesBusiness 10%Foreign policy, trade and defense · 6% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 0 sponsored · 5 cosponsored · 1 statements · 104 tweets · broke with their party on 43 of 199 party-line votesForeign policy 6%Education · 4% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 0 sponsored · 6 cosponsored · 0 statements · 31 tweets · broke with their party on 1 of 27 party-line votesEducation 4%Immigration · 4% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 0 sponsored · 8 cosponsored · 1 statements · 19 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 38 party-line votesImmigration 4%Guns · 3% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 0 sponsored · 3 cosponsored · 4 statements · 6 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 13 party-line votesGuns 3%Federal power and civil liberties · 2% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 0 sponsored · 4 cosponsored · 1 statements · 4 tweets · broke with their party on 6 of 85 party-line votesFederal power 2%Elections, representation and accountability · 2% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 1 sponsored · 1 cosponsored · 1 statements · 3 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 16 party-line votes2%Civil rights, gender and religion · 2% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 0 sponsored · 2 cosponsored · 0 statements · 14 tweets · broke with their party on 8 of 18 party-line votes2%Trade and industrial policy · 1% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 0 sponsored · 4 cosponsored · 0 statements · 1 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 4 party-line votes1%
Rarely breaksOften breaks

Jay Obernolte

● Republican · U.S. House · California
Raised
$1.5M
2025–26 cycle
Top sector
$167k
health care
Overall
Rt-lean
15pt right
Actions
863
votes, bills, tweets
On the ballot · Nov 397% · vs. Hodge ↓
The campaign · in their words

“Proven. Conservative. Fighter.”

Fighting Washington's Spending ↗“Jay Obernolte is fighting to balance the federal budget and stop the reckless spending that is driving inflation and increasing prices…”Helping Working Families ↗“Jay Obernolte fought to lower taxes, repeal gas taxes & lower fuel costs for commuters, provide tax relief for small businesses, and expand the child tax credit for working families…”Keeping us Safe ↗“Jay Obernolte authored legislation to hold fentanyl dealers accountable for poisoning our children and stopped the dumping of sexual predators in our community to protect local families.”
From electjay.com, unedited

Where They Stand

Overall
Rt-lean, 15 points from center
Dot = distance from center · band = 90% range

The 2026 Race

Race page →
Odds · party to winOct 27
Obernolte (R)97%
Hodge (D)4%
The race · CA-23
Jay ObernolteRepublican · incumbent · Rt-lean 15 on the record97%
Tessa Lynn HodgeDemocrat · challenger · Left 30 from statements4%
3015
45 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Hodge's page →
Money · raised, FEC to Sep 30
Jay Obernolte$1.8M
$615k from individuals · $561k itemized
Tessa Lynn Hodge$123k
$113k from individuals · $64k itemized
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
Odds are a market close, not a poll

What They Care About

Federal budget, taxes and spending · 14% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 2 sponsored · 21 cosponsored · 12 statements · 108 tweets · broke with their party on 105 of 280 party-line votesBudget and taxes 14%Housing, transportation, technology and vice · 14% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 2 sponsored · 14 cosponsored · 6 statements · 100 tweets · broke with their party on 6 of 47 party-line votesHousing and tech 14%Energy, environment, land and agriculture · 13% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 3 sponsored · 20 cosponsored · 11 statements · 33 tweets · broke with their party on 16 of 198 party-line votesEnergy and land 13%Health care · 13% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 2 sponsored · 31 cosponsored · 0 statements · 81 tweets · broke with their party on 1 of 24 party-line votesHealth care 13%Crime and justice · 12% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 1 sponsored · 14 cosponsored · 5 statements · 148 tweets · broke with their party on 13 of 81 party-line votesCrime and justice 12%Business, finance and labor · 10% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 2 sponsored · 13 cosponsored · 2 statements · 123 tweets · broke with their party on 12 of 102 party-line votesBusiness and labor 10%Foreign policy, trade and defense · 6% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 0 sponsored · 5 cosponsored · 1 statements · 104 tweets · broke with their party on 43 of 199 party-line votes6%Education · 4% of Jay Obernolte's priorities · 0 sponsored · 6 cosponsored · 0 statements · 31 tweets · broke with their party on 1 of 27 party-line votes4%
6% Foreign policy4% Education
RarelyOften breaks

Who Pays

PAC money · 2025–26
SectorPACsAmountShare
Health care53$167k
Tech, media & telecom39$161k
Retail & business56$154k
Energy26$104k
Issue groups22$67k
Finance & insurance18$57k
Transportation20$53k
Other politicians12$44k
Everything else52$170k
Raised $1.5M · 34% individuals · 59% pacs