Mike McGuire
Candidate · U.S. House · California
Democrat · Challenger97%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatCalifornia, district 1
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
The district
CA-1 · California
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: State Senate President, Ex-Sonoma Co Supervisor & Ex-Healdsburg Mayor.
The campaign · in their wordsvotemikemcguire.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“ALL IN for Northern California!”
Plank 1 · campaign site
Protecting Our Healthcare
“In Congress, I'll fight to pass Medicare for All, guaranteeing healthcare to every American - full stop.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Making Billionaires Pay Their Fair Share
“In Congress, I'll take that fight to Washington, repealing Donald Trump's $2.2 trillion in tax cuts for the ultra-wealthy and making billionaires and big corporations finally pay their fair share - investing every dime in the things working families actually need: healthcare, universal childcare, tuition-free community college, and housing.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Holding ICE Accountable
“In Congress, I'll hold Trump and ICE accountable for their abuses of power, corruption, and attacks on our democracy.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 29 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 10 statements
Left
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · California House, district 1 · 7 days out
Mike McGuireDemocrat · challenger · Left 34 from statements97%
James GallagherRepublican · incumbent · Right 35 from statements6%3435
69 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$2.2M
Raised
$1.8M
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$1.2M
Itemized · 66% of individual
979
Named donors
92%
Itemized from California
By occupation
$367k
$136k
$120k
$55k
$54k
By state
$1.1M
$17k
$12k
$9k
$8k
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“repeal Donald Trump's disastrous tariffs.”
“investments in clean energy, forest health, fire prevention, and disaster recovery”
“Increase the minimum wage, build new housing, and repeal Donald Trump's disastrous tariffs.”
On the ballot with them · California, Nov 3, 2026
CA Governor · open seat
Xavier Becerra (D) · 96%
vs. Steve Hilton (R) · 4%
CA-2
Jared Huffman (D) · 98%
vs. Robin Littau (R) · <1%
CA-3
Ami Bera (D) · 95%
vs. Robb Tucker (R) · 3%
CA-4
Mike Thompson (D) · 71%
vs. Eric Jones (D) · 32%
CA-5
Tom McClintock (R) · 93%
vs. Michael Masuda (D) · 7%
CA-6
Richard Pan (D) · 95%
vs. Kevin Kiley (NPP) · 6%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Mike McGuire
Candidate · U.S. House · California
Democrat · Challenger97%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Gallagher (R), inc.
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“ALL IN for Northern California!”
Plank 1
Protecting Our Healthcare
“In Congress, I'll fight to pass Medicare for All, guaranteeing healthcare to every American - full stop.”
Plank 2
Making Billionaires Pay Their Fair Share
“In Congress, I'll take that fight to Washington, repealing Donald Trump's $2.2 trillion in tax cuts for the ultra-wealthy and making billionaires and big corporations finally pay their fair share - investing every dime in the things working families actually need: healthcare, universal childcare, tuition-free community college, and housing.”
Plank 3
Holding ICE Accountable
“In Congress, I'll hold Trump and ICE accountable for their abuses of power, corruption, and attacks on our democracy.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · votemikemcguire.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Energy and landLeft 37
Left, 37 points from center
Health careLeft 45
Left, 45 points from center
Budget and taxesLeft 36
Left, 36 points from center
EducationLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
Foreign policyLeft 40
Left, 40 points from center
ImmigrationL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
TradeLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
Civil rightsLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
Crime and justiceLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
Federal powerL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
The race · CA-1 · 7 days out
Mike McGuireDemocrat · challenger · Left 34 from statements97%James GallagherRepublican · incumbent · Right 35 from statements6%3435
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 66% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“repeal Donald Trump's disastrous tariffs.”
“investments in clean energy, forest health, fire prevention, and disaster recovery”
“Increase the minimum wage, build new housing, and repeal Donald Trump's disastrous tariffs.”
On the ballot with them · California
CA Governor · open seatBecerra (D) vs. Hilton (R)96% · 4%CA-2Huffman (D) vs. Littau (R)98% · <1%CA-3Bera (D) vs. Tucker (R)95% · 3%CA-4Thompson (D) vs. Jones (D)71% · 32%CA-5McClintock (R) vs. Masuda (D)93% · 7%CA-6Pan (D) vs. Kiley (NPP)95% · 6%
All 53 California races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll