Michael McGuire
Candidate · U.S. House · New Jersey
Republican · Challenger3%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatNew Jersey, district 3
AgainstHerb Conaway (D), incumbent
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
The district
NJ-3 · New Jersey
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Attorney.
The campaign · in their wordsmichaelmcguireforcongress.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
Affordability
Plank 2 · campaign site
Term Limits
Plank 3 · campaign site
National Defense and Veterans
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 37 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 6 statements
Rt-lean
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · New Jersey House, district 3 · 7 days out
Herb ConawayDemocrat · incumbent · L-lean 17 from statements94%Michael McGuireRepublican · challenger · Rt-lean 18 from statements3%1718
35 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$211k
Raised
$181k
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$173k
Itemized · 96% of individual
375
Named donors
33%
Itemized from New Jersey
By occupation
$96k
$8k
$7k
$7k
$5k
By state
$57k
$33k
$25k
$17k
$8k
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“It’s time to cut both so they can grow, hire more New Jerseyans, and thrive.”
“Our national defense depends on funding readiness, rigorous training, and modernization”
“high-quality, accessible healthcare, including mental health services, for veterans and their families”
On the ballot with them · New Jersey, Nov 3, 2026
NJ Senate
Cory Booker (D) · 97%
vs. Justin Murphy (R) · 3%
NJ-1
Donald Norcross (D) · 96%
vs. Damon Galdo (R) · 4%
NJ-2
Jeff Van Drew (R) · 72%
vs. Zack Mullock (D) · 29%
NJ-4
Chris Smith (R) · 95%
vs. Rachel Peace (D) · 3%
NJ-5
Josh Gottheimer (D) · 98%
vs. Sean Kirrane (R) · 9%
NJ-6
Frank Pallone (D) · 97%
vs. Hillary Herzig (R) · 3%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Michael McGuire
Candidate · U.S. House · New Jersey
Republican · Challenger3%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Conaway (D), inc.
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · michaelmcguireforcongress.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Budget and taxesRight 33
Right, 33 points from center
Crime and justiceRight 30
Right, 30 points from center
ImmigrationMixed
Mixed
GunsRight 33
Right, 33 points from center
Business and laborRight 35
Right, 35 points from center
Civil rightsLeft 30
Left, 30 points from center
TradeRt-lean 18
Rt-lean, 18 points from center
EducationRight 23
Right, 23 points from center
Housing and techL-lean 15
L-lean, 15 points from center
The race · NJ-3 · 7 days out
Herb ConawayDemocrat · incumbent · L-lean 17 from statements94%Michael McGuireRepublican · challenger · Rt-lean 18 from statements3%1718
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 96% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“It’s time to cut both so they can grow, hire more New Jerseyans, and thrive.”
“Our national defense depends on funding readiness, rigorous training, and modernization”
“high-quality, accessible healthcare, including mental health services, for veterans and their families”
On the ballot with them · New Jersey
NJ SenateBooker (D) vs. Murphy (R)97% · 3%NJ-1Norcross (D) vs. Galdo (R)96% · 4%NJ-2Drew (R) vs. Mullock (D)72% · 29%NJ-4Smith (R) vs. Peace (D)95% · 3%NJ-5Gottheimer (D) vs. Kirrane (R)98% · 9%NJ-6Pallone (D) vs. Herzig (R)97% · 3%
All 13 New Jersey races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll