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U.S. House · New Jersey · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New Jersey House, district 1
Donald Norcross (Democrat, incumbent) against Damon Galdo (Republican).
Where they stand · 54 points apart
Galdo is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Donald NorcrossrecordDamon Galdoestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedNorcross$1.9MGaldo$16kItemized, named donorsNorcross$666kGaldo$7kNamed donorsNorcross336Galdo14Itemized from New JerseyNorcross52%Galdo79%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Fighting for New Jersey Families”
“It was great to spend my morning at the Southern New Jersey Development Council alongside my colleague and friend @RepHerbConaway to discuss the issues facing South Jersey's economy, and how we can fix them in the next Congress” Norcross · X post · Oct 16 · ↗
“I am running to make sure our border stays secure, end sanctuary-style loopholes” Galdo · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Norcross | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 98% | 97% | $963 | Open ↗ |
| Donald Norcross | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 97% | 96% | $27,587 | Open ↗ |
| Damon Galdo | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | $1,911 | Open ↗ |
| Damon Galdo | Polymarket | Republican wins | 3% | 5% | 4% | $26,837 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Jersey ballot
All 12 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll