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U.S. House · New Jersey · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New Jersey House, district 5
Josh Gottheimer (Democrat, incumbent) against Sean Kirrane (Republican).
Where they stand · 26 points apart
Kirrane is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Josh GottheimerrecordSean Kirraneestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedGottheimer$5.5MKirrane$99kItemized, named donorsGottheimer$3.4MKirrane$36kNamed donorsGottheimer1,321Kirrane25Itemized from New JerseyGottheimer19%Kirrane77%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Eliminating taxes on retirement income” Kirrane · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Gottheimer | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 94% | 96% | 96% | $5,482 | Open ↗ |
| Josh Gottheimer | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 97% | 98% | $21,879 | Open ↗ |
| Sean Kirrane | Kalshi | Republican wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | $4,800 | Open ↗ |
| Sean Kirrane | Polymarket | Republican wins | 3% | 5% | 9% | $10,668 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Jersey ballot
All 12 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll