U.S. House · New Jersey · Nov 3 · 7 days out

New Jersey House, district 2

Jeff Van Drew (Republican, incumbent) against Zack Mullock (Democrat).

Republican · incumbent · estimate Right 34

72%party to win

vs.

Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 36

29%party to win

Where they stand · 70 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Jeff Van DrewestimateZack Mullockestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

3436

70 pts

Energy, environment, land and agriculture

4532

77 pts ▸

Education

2525

50 pts ▸

Guns

3515

50 pts ▸

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedDrew

$2.3MMullock

$824kItemized, named donorsDrew

$1.5MMullock

$477kNamed donorsDrew

1,181Mullock

515Itemized from New JerseyDrew

78%Mullock

79%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

Campaign sites and X

“I will stand in staunch opposition and vote NO.” Drew · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

“An Independent Voice for Working Families”

“Establish an annual tax on the net worth of the wealthiest households in America.” Mullock · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Jeff Van Drew	Kalshi	Republican wins	71%	72%	72%	$72,287	Open ↗
Jeff Van Drew	Polymarket	Republican wins	68%	70%	70%	$51,959	Open ↗
Zack Mullock	Kalshi	Democrat wins	28%	29%	29%	$176,624	Open ↗
Zack Mullock	Polymarket	Democrat wins	30%	31%	31%	$111,238	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the New Jersey ballot

Senate

House · NJ-1

House · NJ-3

House · NJ-4

House · NJ-5

House · NJ-6

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll