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U.S. House · New Jersey · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New Jersey House, district 6
Frank Pallone (Democrat, incumbent) against Hillary Herzig (Republican).
Where they stand · 53 points apart
Herzig is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Frank PallonerecordHillary Herzigestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedPallone$2.7MHerzig$11kItemized, named donorsPallone$888kHerzig$5kNamed donorsPallone556Herzig9Itemized from New JerseyPallone33%Herzig74%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Always great to be here in Long Branch for its annual Columbus Day parade. I'm proud to celebrate New Jersey's Italian American heritage and our contribution to the nation's culture!” Pallone · X post · Oct 18 · ↗
“A Voice for NJ's 6th District”
“we honor the officers who protect and serve our communities with courage and sacrifice.” Herzig · X post · Jan 9 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Pallone | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 100% | 96% | $386 | Open ↗ |
| Frank Pallone | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 97% | $14,612 | Open ↗ |
| Hillary Herzig | Kalshi | Republican wins | 1% | 4% | 4% | $689 | Open ↗ |
| Hillary Herzig | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | $20,089 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Jersey ballot
All 12 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll