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U.S. Senate · New Jersey · Nov 3 · 7 days out

New Jersey Senate

Cory Booker (Democrat, incumbent) against Justin Murphy (Republican).

Cory Booker
Democrat · incumbent · record Left 33
97%▲ 3 since April
vs.
Justin Murphy
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 30
3%▼ 1 since April
100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTTODAY
100%75%50%25%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPTODAY
Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Where they stand · 63 points apart

Murphy is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Cory BookerrecordJustin Murphyestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
3330
63 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedBooker
$20.7MMurphy
$63kItemized, named donorsBooker
$5.9MMurphy
$35kNamed donorsBooker
14,416Murphy
60Itemized from New JerseyBooker
14%Murphy
96%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“A Tireless fighter for New Jersey”

“Don't give up. Keep going. Victory will soon roll in.” Booker · X post · Oct 20 · ↗

“Suspend federal aid To sanctuary cities, countries, and states” Murphy · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Cory BookerKalshiDemocrat wins97%97%97%$39,709Open ↗
Cory BookerPolymarketDemocrat wins98%99%98%$14,594Open ↗
Justin MurphyKalshiRepublican wins3%3%3%$189,901Open ↗
Justin MurphyPolymarketRepublican wins1%2%1%$14,790Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Jersey ballot
All 12 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll