Micah Lasher
Candidate · U.S. House · New York
Democrat · Challenger97%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatNew York, district 12
AgainstCaroline Shinkle (R/C)
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
The district
NY-12 · New York
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: State Assemblyman & Ex-Congressional Aide.
The campaign · in their wordsmicahlasher.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
Fighting Back Against Trumpism
Plank 2 · campaign site
Tackling Affordability
Plank 3 · campaign site
Protecting Immigrants and Defending Civil Rights
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 30 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 11 statements
Left
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · New York House, district 12 · 7 days out
Micah LasherDemocrat · challenger · Left 38 from statements97%
Caroline ShinkleRepublican / Constitution · challenger · Right 30 from statements1%3830
67 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$3.4M
Raised
$2.9M
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$2.8M
Itemized · 96% of individual
1,576
Named donors
88%
Itemized from New York
By occupation
$583k
$263k
$144k
$115k
$101k
By state
$2.4M
$63k
$60k
$34k
$34k
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“Fund TSA. Abolish ICE.”
“Extend ACA subsidies. Pass Medicare for All.”
“We need to block all ICE funding until this fascist regime ends.”
On the ballot with them · New York, Nov 3, 2026
NY Governor
Kathy Hochul (D/WF) · 94%
vs. Bruce Blakeman (R/C/VA) · 6%
NY-1
Nick LaLota (R/C) · 78%
vs. Chris Gallant (D) · 21%
NY-2
Andrew Garbarino (R/C) · 80%
vs. Pat Halpin (D/WF) · 22%
NY-3
Tom Suozzi (D) · 90%
vs. Mike LiPetri (R/C) · 12%
NY-4
Laura Gillen (D) · 92%
vs. Jeanine Driscoll (R/C) · 9%
NY-5
Gregory Meeks (D) · 97%
vs. George Marsh (R/Queens United) · 1%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Micah Lasher
Candidate · U.S. House · New York
Democrat · Challenger97%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Shinkle (R/C)
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1
Fighting Back Against Trumpism
Plank 2
Tackling Affordability
Plank 3
Protecting Immigrants and Defending Civil Rights
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · micahlasher.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Housing and techLeft 36
Left, 36 points from center
Energy and landLeft 43
Left, 43 points from center
Health careLeft 43
Left, 43 points from center
ImmigrationLeft 45
Left, 45 points from center
Budget and taxesLeft 43
Left, 43 points from center
Civil rightsLeft 43
Left, 43 points from center
Foreign policyLeft 35
Left, 35 points from center
GunsLeft 50
Left, 50 points from center
EducationLeft 33
Left, 33 points from center
Federal powerRight 28
Right, 28 points from center
TradeLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
The race · NY-12 · 7 days out
Micah LasherDemocrat · challenger · Left 38 from statements97%Caroline ShinkleRepublican / Constitution · challenger · Right 30 from statements1%3830
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 96% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“Fund TSA. Abolish ICE.”
“Extend ACA subsidies. Pass Medicare for All.”
“We need to block all ICE funding until this fascist regime ends.”
On the ballot with them · New York
NY GovernorHochul (D/WF) vs. Blakeman (R/C/VA)94% · 6%NY-1LaLota (R/C) vs. Gallant (D)78% · 21%NY-2Garbarino (R/C) vs. Halpin (D/WF)80% · 22%NY-3Suozzi (D) vs. LiPetri (R/C)90% · 12%NY-4Gillen (D) vs. Driscoll (R/C)92% · 9%NY-5Meeks (D) vs. Marsh (R/Queens United)97% · 1%
All 27 New York races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll