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Governor · New York · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New York Governor
Kathy Hochul (Democrat / Working Families, incumbent) against Bruce Blakeman (Republican / Constitution / VA).
Where they stand · 64 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Kathy HochulestimateBruce Blakemanestimate
Money
New York State Board of Elections to Oct 19RaisedHochul$20.3MBlakeman$11.9MItemized, named donorsHochul$15MBlakeman$11MNamed donorsHochul12,981Blakeman48,579Itemized from New YorkHochul72%Blakeman90%
New York State Board of Elections names only donors who give over $99, so smaller gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy Hochul | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 94% | 94% | 94% | $1,107,586 | Open ↗ |
| Kathy Hochul | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 96% | 96% | $125,039 | Open ↗ |
| Bruce Blakeman | Kalshi | Republican wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | $4,003,194 | Open ↗ |
| Bruce Blakeman | Polymarket | Republican wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | $201,723 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New York ballot
All 26 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll