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U.S. House · New York · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New York House, district 3
Tom Suozzi (Democrat, incumbent) against Mike LiPetri (Republican / Constitution).
Where they stand · 56 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Tom SuozziestimateMike LiPetriestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedSuozzi$7.2MLiPetri$2.3MItemized, named donorsSuozzi$4.4MLiPetri$349kNamed donorsSuozzi2,511LiPetri308Itemized from New YorkSuozzi59%LiPetri50%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Suozzi | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 90% | 90% | 90% | $166,471 | Open ↗ |
| Tom Suozzi | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 88% | 91% | 91% | $22,573 | Open ↗ |
| Mike LiPetri | Kalshi | Republican wins | 9% | 11% | 12% | $103,682 | Open ↗ |
| Mike LiPetri | Polymarket | Republican wins | 9% | 11% | 10% | $28,042 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New York ballot
All 26 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll