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U.S. House · New York · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New York House, district 4
Laura Gillen (Democrat, incumbent) against Jeanine Driscoll (Republican / Constitution).
Where they stand · 32 points apart
Driscoll is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Laura GillenrecordJeanine Driscollestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedGillen$6MDriscoll$665kItemized, named donorsGillen$3.2MDriscoll$96kNamed donorsGillen2,061Driscoll135Itemized from New YorkGillen49%Driscoll79%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“🗳️TWO WEEKS UNTIL ELECTION DAY🗳️ ⭐Register at ⭐More info at #Gillen4NY” Gillen · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“Kathy Hochul’s Sanctuary State law protects violent criminals instead of law-abiding New Yorkers. ... In Congress, I will work with my colleagues ... to undo New” Driscoll · X post · Jul 24 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Gillen | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 92% | 92% | 92% | $40,116 | Open ↗ |
| Laura Gillen | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 90% | 91% | 89% | $8,895 | Open ↗ |
| Jeanine Driscoll | Kalshi | Republican wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | $70,440 | Open ↗ |
| Jeanine Driscoll | Polymarket | Republican wins | 8% | 9% | 8% | $14,738 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New York ballot
All 26 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll