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U.S. House · New York · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New York House, district 1
Nick LaLota (Republican / Constitution, incumbent) against Chris Gallant (Democrat).
Where they stand · 33 points apart
Gallant is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Nick LaLotarecordChris Gallantestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedLaLota$4.4MGallant$1.6MItemized, named donorsLaLota$1.2MGallant$1MNamed donorsLaLota835Gallant1,185Itemized from New YorkLaLota61%Gallant67%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Navy Veteran, Family Man, Public Servant: Putting Long Island First.”
“Long Island loves its First Responders. If you’re struggling, please reach out. The world is better with you here.” LaLota · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“Real Service & Real Solutions for Long Island”
“Oppose any cuts or privatization of Medicare, Medicaid, or Social Security” Gallant · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick LaLota | Kalshi | Republican wins | 78% | 79% | 78% | $30,664 | Open ↗ |
| Nick LaLota | Polymarket | Republican wins | 76% | 78% | 78% | $24,369 | Open ↗ |
| Chris Gallant | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 21% | 22% | 21% | $183,190 | Open ↗ |
| Chris Gallant | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 21% | 24% | 21% | $51,764 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New York ballot
All 26 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll