Jeff Belle
Candidate · U.S. House · California
Republican · Challenger4%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatCalifornia, district 52
AgainstJuan Vargas (D), incumbent
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
Websitebelleforcongress.com ↗
X@jeffbelle_2026 ↗ Campaign
The district
CA-52 · California
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Investment Executive & Ex-Congressional Aide.
The campaign · in their wordsbelleforcongress.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
Housing
“I will support policies that increase housing supply, speed up approvals, and make it easier to build starter homes, apartments near transit, and affordable units for working families.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Immigration
“I support stronger border security, tougher action against cartels and smugglers, and a lawful immigration, swift process that works for employers, families, and our economy.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Public Schools
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 1 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
not enough to place
No placement
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · California House, district 52 · 7 days out
Juan VargasDemocrat · incumbent · Left 34 on the record98%Jeff BelleRepublican · challenger4%34
One of the two has no placement yet · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Oct 14, 2026
$27k
Raised
$20k
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$14k
Itemized · 74% of individual
11
Named donors
90%
Itemized from California
By occupation
$7k
$4k
$2k
$1k
$500
By state
$13k
$500
$500
$250
$160
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“I support stronger border security”
“tougher action against cartels and smugglers”
“a lawful immigration, swift process that works for employers, families, and our economy”
On the ballot with them · California, Nov 3, 2026
CA Governor · open seat
Xavier Becerra (D) · 96%
vs. Steve Hilton (R) · 4%
CA-1
Mike McGuire (D) · 97%
vs. James Gallagher (R) · 6%
CA-2
Jared Huffman (D) · 98%
vs. Robin Littau (R) · <1%
CA-3
Ami Bera (D) · 95%
vs. Robb Tucker (R) · 3%
CA-4
Mike Thompson (D) · 71%
vs. Eric Jones (D) · 32%
CA-5
Tom McClintock (R) · 93%
vs. Michael Masuda (D) · 7%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Jeff Belle
Candidate · U.S. House · California
Republican · Challenger4%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Vargas (D), inc.
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“The right leader at the right time to facilitate changes and accelerate growth for a stronger South Bay, San Diego County.”
Plank 1
Housing
“I will support policies that increase housing supply, speed up approvals, and make it easier to build starter homes, apartments near transit, and affordable units for working families.”
Plank 2
Immigration
“I support stronger border security, tougher action against cartels and smugglers, and a lawful immigration, swift process that works for employers, families, and our economy.”
Plank 3
Public Schools
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · belleforcongress.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
OverallNo placement yet
Belle, estimateTake the quiz →
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
ImmigrationRt-lean 18
Rt-lean, 18 points from center
The race · CA-52 · 7 days out
Juan VargasDemocrat · incumbent · Left 34 on the record98%Jeff BelleRepublican · challenger4%34
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Oct 14, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 74% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“I support stronger border security”
“tougher action against cartels and smugglers”
“a lawful immigration, swift process that works for employers, families, and our economy”
On the ballot with them · California
CA Governor · open seatBecerra (D) vs. Hilton (R)96% · 4%CA-1McGuire (D) vs. Gallagher (R)97% · 6%CA-2Huffman (D) vs. Littau (R)98% · <1%CA-3Bera (D) vs. Tucker (R)95% · 3%CA-4Thompson (D) vs. Jones (D)71% · 32%CA-5McClintock (R) vs. Masuda (D)93% · 7%
All 53 California races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll