James Talarico
Candidate · U.S. Senate · Texas
Democrat · Challenger66%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
▲ 20 pts since April
Running for
OfficeU.S. Senate
SeatTexas, statewide
AgainstKen Paxton (R)
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
Running statewide
Texas · Senate seat
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: State Rep. & Presbyterian Seminary Student.
The campaign · in their wordsjamestalarico.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“It's time to Start Flipping Tables.”
Plank 1 · campaign site
Getting Big Money Out of Politics
“His anti-corruption agenda bans super PACs and corporate PACs, bans stock trading by members of Congress, and closes billionaire tax loopholes.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Lowering What Texans Pay
“In the Senate, he'll cut taxes for working people, cap credit card interest rates, and lower the cost of rent, groceries, utilities, and gas by making billionaires and giant corporations pay their fair share.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
A Former Teacher Fighting for Public Schools
“He'll keep public money in public schools, hire more teachers, raise teacher pay, and bring universal Pre-K to every Texas family.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 33 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 12 statements
Left
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
Odds over time · Kalshi daily closes
Talarico (D) — 66%Paxton (R) — 35%
The race · Texas Senate · 7 days out
James TalaricoDemocrat · challenger · Left 31 from statements66%
Ken PaxtonRepublican · challenger · Right 39 from statements35%3139
70 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$128.8M
Raised
$122.3M
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$55M
Itemized · 46% of individual
103,301
Named donors
49%
Itemized from Texas
By occupation
$26M
$3.3M
$3.2M
$2.9M
$1.4M
By state
$27M
$6.5M
$2.5M
$1.7M
$1.5M
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“defend the separation of church and state”
“Raise the federal minimum wage to $15 an hour”
“Expand the Child Tax Credit and the Earned Income Tax Credit”
On the ballot with them · Texas, Nov 3, 2026
TX Governor
Greg Abbott (R) · 67%
vs. Gina Hinojosa (D) · 32%
TX-1
Nathaniel Moran (R) · 95%
vs. Yolanda Prince (D) · 2%
TX-2 · open seat
Steve Toth (R) · 92%
vs. Shaun Finnie (D) · 6%
TX-3
Keith Self (R) · 95%
vs. Evan Hunt (D) · 4%
TX-4
Pat Fallon (R) · 94%
vs. Jason Pearce (D) · 1%
TX-5
Lance Gooden (R) · 94%
vs. Chelsey Hockett (D) · 2%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
James Talarico
Candidate · U.S. Senate · Texas
Democrat · Challenger66%
Party to win · Kalshi
▲ 20 pts since April
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Paxton (R)
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“It's time to Start Flipping Tables.”
Plank 1
Getting Big Money Out of Politics
“His anti-corruption agenda bans super PACs and corporate PACs, bans stock trading by members of Congress, and closes billionaire tax loopholes.”
Plank 2
Lowering What Texans Pay
“In the Senate, he'll cut taxes for working people, cap credit card interest rates, and lower the cost of rent, groceries, utilities, and gas by making billionaires and giant corporations pay their fair share.”
Plank 3
A Former Teacher Fighting for Public Schools
“He'll keep public money in public schools, hire more teachers, raise teacher pay, and bring universal Pre-K to every Texas family.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · jamestalarico.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Budget and taxesLeft 38
Left, 38 points from center
Civil rightsLeft 37
Left, 37 points from center
EducationLeft 43
Left, 43 points from center
Housing and techLeft 33
Left, 33 points from center
Foreign policyLeft 35
Left, 35 points from center
ImmigrationL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
Crime and justiceL-lean 21
L-lean, 21 points from center
Health careLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
Energy and landL-lean 20
L-lean, 20 points from center
GunsLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
Business and laborMixed
Mixed
TradeLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
Federal powerL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
Odds over time · Kalshi
Talarico 66%Paxton 35%
The race · TX Senate · 7 days out
James TalaricoDemocrat · challenger · Left 31 from statements66%Ken PaxtonRepublican · challenger · Right 39 from statements35%3139
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 46% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“defend the separation of church and state”
“Raise the federal minimum wage to $15 an hour”
“Expand the Child Tax Credit and the Earned Income Tax Credit”
On the ballot with them · Texas
TX GovernorAbbott (R) vs. Hinojosa (D)67% · 32%TX-1Moran (R) vs. Prince (D)95% · 2%TX-2 · open seatToth (R) vs. Finnie (D)92% · 6%TX-3Self (R) vs. Hunt (D)95% · 4%TX-4Fallon (R) vs. Pearce (D)94% · 1%TX-5Gooden (R) vs. Hockett (D)94% · 2%
All 40 Texas races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll