David Jolly
Candidate · Governor · Florida
Democrat · Challenger22%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
▼ 2 pts since April
Running for
OfficeGovernor
SeatFlorida, statewide
AgainstByron Donalds (R)
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
Websitedavidjolly.com ↗
X@davidjollyfl ↗ Campaign
Running statewide
Florida · Governor
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Ex-Congressman, Attorney & Ex-Republican.
The campaign · in their wordsdavidjolly.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
Solving our Affordability and Insurance Crisis
Plank 2 · campaign site
Delivering Affordable Healthcare to Floridians
“In the face of cuts from Washington and Tallahassee, Florida should commit to expanding Medicaid and ensuring healthcare for all Floridians.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Saving Our Schools
“We need to dramatically increase investment in Florida's public schools to provide higher quality public schools in more neighborhoods, with more teachers who earn a more competitive salary.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 141 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 10 statements
Left
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
Odds over time · Kalshi daily closes
Donalds (R) — 79%Jolly (D) — 22%
The race · Florida Governor · 7 days out
Byron DonaldsRepublican · challenger · Right 37 on the record79%David JollyDemocrat · challenger · Left 28 from statements22%3728
64 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
In their own words
“On Day One, I’ll issue a one year moratorium on AI data centers.”
“calling for a moratorium on new data centers until Florida has real protections in place”
“We are unprepared for the macro labor disruptions of AI ... unprepared for the privacy implications.”
On the ballot with them · Florida, Nov 3, 2026
FL Senate · special
Ashley Moody (R) · 89%
vs. Angie Nixon (D) · 12%
FL-1
Jimmy Patronis (R) · 97%
vs. Gay Valimont (D) · 4%
FL-2 · open seat
Austin Rogers (R) · 90%
vs. Amanda Marie Green (D) · 8%
FL-3
Kat Cammack (R) · 95%
vs. Seth Harp (D) · 5%
FL-4 · open seat
Aaron Bean (R) · 83%
vs. LaShonda "LJ" Holloway (D) · 18%
FL-5
John Rutherford (R) · 91%
vs. Rachel Grage (D) · 6%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
David Jolly
Candidate · Governor · Florida
Democrat · Challenger22%
Party to win · Kalshi
▼ 2 pts since April
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Donalds (R)
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1
Solving our Affordability and Insurance Crisis
Plank 2
Delivering Affordable Healthcare to Floridians
“In the face of cuts from Washington and Tallahassee, Florida should commit to expanding Medicaid and ensuring healthcare for all Floridians.”
Plank 3
Saving Our Schools
“We need to dramatically increase investment in Florida's public schools to provide higher quality public schools in more neighborhoods, with more teachers who earn a more competitive salary.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · davidjolly.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
GunsLeft 45
Left, 45 points from center
EducationMixed
Mixed
Housing and techLeft 33
Left, 33 points from center
Energy and landLeft 37
Left, 37 points from center
Crime and justiceLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
Health careLeans left
Leans left
ImmigrationLeft 33
Left, 33 points from center
Civil rightsLeans left
Leans left
Federal powerRight 28
Right, 28 points from center
Budget and taxesCenter 2
Center, 2 points from center
TradeL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
Foreign policyL-lean 13
L-lean, 13 points from center
Odds over time · Kalshi
Donalds 79%Jolly 22%
The race · FL Governor · 7 days out
Byron DonaldsRepublican · challenger · Right 37 on the record79%David JollyDemocrat · challenger · Left 28 from statements22%3728
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
In their own words
“On Day One, I’ll issue a one year moratorium on AI data centers.”
“calling for a moratorium on new data centers until Florida has real protections in place”
“We are unprepared for the macro labor disruptions of AI ... unprepared for the privacy implications.”
On the ballot with them · Florida
FL SenateMoody (R) vs. Nixon (D)89% · 12%FL-1Patronis (R) vs. Valimont (D)97% · 4%FL-2 · open seatRogers (R) vs. Green (D)90% · 8%FL-3Cammack (R) vs. Harp (D)95% · 5%FL-4 · open seatBean (R) vs. Holloway (D)83% · 18%FL-5Rutherford (R) vs. Grage (D)91% · 6%
All 30 Florida races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll