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U.S. House · Florida · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Florida House, district 5
John Rutherford (Republican, incumbent) against Rachel Grage (Democrat).
Where they stand
From their voting record.
John Rutherfordrecord
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedRutherford$895kGrage$417kItemized, named donorsRutherford$287kGrage$326kNamed donorsRutherford162Grage307Itemized from FloridaRutherford50%Grage94%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“The Results-Driven Conservative Leader Faithfully Serving Northeast Florida”
“Working for the future you deserve.”
“fighting for lower insurance costs and expanded access and coverage” Grage · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rutherford | Kalshi | Republican wins | 93% | 95% | 93% | $8,783 | Open ↗ |
| John Rutherford | Polymarket | Republican wins | 93% | 95% | 91% | $9,250 | Open ↗ |
| Rachel Grage | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | $4,813 | Open ↗ |
| Rachel Grage | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | $8,583 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Florida ballot
All 29 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll