Dani Sterbinsky
Candidate · U.S. House · Arizona
Democrat · Challenger3%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatArizona, district 9
AgainstPaul Gosar (R), incumbent
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
Websitesterbinskyforcongress.com ↗
The district
AZ-9 · Arizona
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: HR Specialist & Navy Veteran.
The campaign · in their wordssterbinskyforcongress.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
Purple Pledge
“Put country before party and serve the people of AZ-09 over partisan interests.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Veterans & Military Families
Plank 3 · campaign site
Energy & Water Security
“Support local energy jobs across Arizona by investing in a diverse energy mix-including traditional energy and renewable sources-while keeping energy reliable and affordable.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 8 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 2 statements
L-lean
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · Arizona House, district 9 · 7 days out
Paul GosarRepublican · incumbent · Right 44 on the record97%Dani SterbinskyDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 20 from statements3%4420
64 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$437k
Raised
$437k
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$60k
Itemized · 14% of individual
92
Named donors
30%
Itemized from Arizona
By occupation
$29k
$7k
$5k
$4k
$3k
By state
$18k
$8k
$8k
$6k
$3k
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“Make work pay — support small businesses and gig workers, raise the federal minimum wage”
“Keep families housed — help first-time buyers with down-payment support, provide rental assistance”
“Lower health care costs — lower prescriptions cost, cut waste and middlemen, and offer a public option”
On the ballot with them · Arizona, Nov 3, 2026
AZ Governor
Katie Hobbs (D) · 89%
vs. Andy Biggs (R) · 11%
AZ-1 · open seat
Amish Shah (D) · 78%
vs. Jay Feely (R) · 22%
AZ-2
Eli Crane (R) · 70%
vs. Jonathan Nez (D) · 32%
AZ-3
Yassamin Ansari (D) · 98%
In Congress · see the record
AZ-4
Greg Stanton (D) · 95%
vs. Zuhdi Jasser (R) · 5%
AZ-5 · open seat
Mark Lamb (R) · 89%
vs. Elizabeth Lee (D) · 11%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Dani Sterbinsky
Candidate · U.S. House · Arizona
Democrat · Challenger3%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Gosar (R), inc.
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1
Purple Pledge
“Put country before party and serve the people of AZ-09 over partisan interests.”
Plank 2
Veterans & Military Families
Plank 3
Energy & Water Security
“Support local energy jobs across Arizona by investing in a diverse energy mix-including traditional energy and renewable sources-while keeping energy reliable and affordable.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · sterbinskyforcongress.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Budget and taxesLeft 23
Left, 23 points from center
ImmigrationMixed
Mixed
Health careL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
The race · AZ-9 · 7 days out
Paul GosarRepublican · incumbent · Right 44 on the record97%Dani SterbinskyDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 20 from statements3%4420
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 14% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“Make work pay — support small businesses and gig workers, raise the federal minimum wage”
“Keep families housed — help first-time buyers with down-payment support, provide rental assistance”
“Lower health care costs — lower prescriptions cost, cut waste and middlemen, and offer a public option”
On the ballot with them · Arizona
AZ GovernorHobbs (D) vs. Biggs (R)89% · 11%AZ-1 · open seatShah (D) vs. Feely (R)78% · 22%AZ-2Crane (R) vs. Nez (D)70% · 32%AZ-3Ansari (D)98%AZ-4Stanton (D) vs. Jasser (R)95% · 5%AZ-5 · open seatLamb (R) vs. Lee (D)89% · 11%
All 10 Arizona races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll