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U.S. House · Arizona · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Arizona House, district 1
Amish Shah (Democrat) against Jay Feely (Republican).
Where they stand · 55 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Amish ShahestimateJay Feelyestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedShah$5MFeely$3.4MItemized, named donorsShah$2.9MFeely$1.7MNamed donorsShah2,493Feely754Itemized from ArizonaShah33%Feely59%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amish Shah | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 78% | 79% | 79% | $51,353 | Open ↗ |
| Amish Shah | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 78% | 79% | 78% | $67,274 | Open ↗ |
| Jay Feely | Kalshi | Republican wins | 21% | 22% | 22% | $150,297 | Open ↗ |
| Jay Feely | Polymarket | Republican wins | 20% | 21% | 21% | $75,454 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Arizona ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll