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U.S. House · Arizona · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Arizona House, district 4
Greg Stanton (Democrat, incumbent) against Zuhdi Jasser (Republican).
Where they stand · 52 points apart
Jasser is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Greg StantonrecordZuhdi Jasserestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedStanton$2.6MJasser$733kItemized, named donorsStanton$1.6MJasser$653kNamed donorsStanton1,224Jasser417Itemized from ArizonaStanton86%Jasser80%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Tempe No Kings yesterday. Amazing to see so many showing up and speaking out to defend our democracy. Now let’s get out and vote!” Stanton · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“Renewing America's Promise”
“I have long advocated for the preservation of the choice of private practice in medicine” Jasser · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Stanton | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 93% | 94% | 94% | $9,199 | Open ↗ |
| Greg Stanton | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 96% | 95% | $25,941 | Open ↗ |
| Zuhdi Jasser | Kalshi | Republican wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | $4,161 | Open ↗ |
| Zuhdi Jasser | Polymarket | Republican wins | 3% | 6% | 5% | $14,778 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Arizona ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll