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Governor · Arizona · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Arizona Governor
Katie Hobbs (Democrat, incumbent) against Andy Biggs (Republican). Biggs is down 10 points on the markets since April.
Where they stand · 71 points apart
Hobbs is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Katie HobbsestimateAndy Biggsrecord
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Fearless fighter for Arizona”
“make healthcare more affordable for everyone” Hobbs · X post · Mar 28 · ↗
“Strong, Steady Leadership. Restoring the American Dream.”
“What a night, Tucson! We are ready to make some noise in Pima County this November. No more excuses. No more vetoes. Let’s win BIG, Arizona!” Biggs · X post · Aug 8 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Hobbs | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 89% | 90% | 89% | $505,496 | Open ↗ |
| Katie Hobbs | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 90% | 91% | 90% | $186,468 | Open ↗ |
| Andy Biggs | Kalshi | Republican wins | 11% | 12% | 11% | $691,845 | Open ↗ |
| Andy Biggs | Polymarket | Republican wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | $175,365 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Arizona ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll