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U.S. House · Arizona · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Arizona House, district 5
Mark Lamb (Republican) against Elizabeth Lee (Democrat).
Where they stand · 56 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Mark LambestimateElizabeth Leeestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedLamb$1.7MLee$321kItemized, named donorsLamb$781kLee$171kNamed donorsLamb1,128Lee224Itemized from ArizonaLamb55%Lee66%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Lamb | Kalshi | Republican wins | 87% | 89% | 90% | $15,880 | Open ↗ |
| Mark Lamb | Polymarket | Republican wins | 88% | 90% | 89% | $22,507 | Open ↗ |
| Elizabeth Lee | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 12% | 13% | 13% | $10,686 | Open ↗ |
| Elizabeth Lee | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 10% | 12% | 11% | $20,770 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Arizona ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll