Charles Hoelter
Candidate · U.S. House · California
Republican · Challenger4%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatCalifornia, district 15
AgainstKevin Mullin (D), incumbent
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
The district
CA-15 · California
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Retired UPS Supervisor.
The campaign · in their wordshoelterforuscongress.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
Economic Growth
“Charles will fight for lower taxes, reduced government spending, and pro-business policies that create jobs and increase opportunity.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Public Safety
“Charles supports law enforcement and believes in policies that protect communities and hold criminals accountable.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Secure Borders
“Charles believes immigration should be legal, fair, and controlled.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 39 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 4 statements
Right
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · California House, district 15 · 7 days out
Kevin MullinDemocrat · incumbent · Left 36 on the record96%Charles HoelterRepublican · challenger · Right 26 from statements4%3626
62 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
In their own words
“Charles will fight for lower taxes”
“Charles will fight for ... reduced government spending”
“pro-business policies that create jobs and increase opportunity”
On the ballot with them · California, Nov 3, 2026
CA Governor · open seat
Xavier Becerra (D) · 96%
vs. Steve Hilton (R) · 4%
CA-1
Mike McGuire (D) · 97%
vs. James Gallagher (R) · 6%
CA-2
Jared Huffman (D) · 98%
vs. Robin Littau (R) · <1%
CA-3
Ami Bera (D) · 95%
vs. Robb Tucker (R) · 3%
CA-4
Mike Thompson (D) · 71%
vs. Eric Jones (D) · 32%
CA-5
Tom McClintock (R) · 93%
vs. Michael Masuda (D) · 7%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Charles Hoelter
Candidate · U.S. House · California
Republican · Challenger4%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Mullin (D), inc.
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1
Economic Growth
“Charles will fight for lower taxes, reduced government spending, and pro-business policies that create jobs and increase opportunity.”
Plank 2
Public Safety
“Charles supports law enforcement and believes in policies that protect communities and hold criminals accountable.”
Plank 3
Secure Borders
“Charles believes immigration should be legal, fair, and controlled.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · hoelterforuscongress.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Budget and taxesRight 33
Right, 33 points from center
ImmigrationRight 28
Right, 28 points from center
Business and laborRight 23
Right, 23 points from center
Crime and justiceRight 23
Right, 23 points from center
Civil rightsRt-lean 18
Rt-lean, 18 points from center
The race · CA-15 · 7 days out
Kevin MullinDemocrat · incumbent · Left 36 on the record96%Charles HoelterRepublican · challenger · Right 26 from statements4%3626
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
In their own words
“Charles will fight for lower taxes”
“Charles will fight for ... reduced government spending”
“pro-business policies that create jobs and increase opportunity”
On the ballot with them · California
CA Governor · open seatBecerra (D) vs. Hilton (R)96% · 4%CA-1McGuire (D) vs. Gallagher (R)97% · 6%CA-2Huffman (D) vs. Littau (R)98% · <1%CA-3Bera (D) vs. Tucker (R)95% · 3%CA-4Thompson (D) vs. Jones (D)71% · 32%CA-5McClintock (R) vs. Masuda (D)93% · 7%
All 53 California races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll