
William Lawrence
Candidate · U.S. House · Michigan
Democrat · Challenger73%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatMichigan, district 7
AgainstTom Barrett (R), incumbent
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotOn the state’s official list
Links
The district
MI-7 · Michigan
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Political Organizer & Progressive Activist.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 10 statements
Left
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · Michigan House, district 7 · 7 days out
William LawrenceDemocrat · challenger · Left 40 from statements73%
Tom BarrettRepublican · incumbent · Right 26 on the record29%4026
66 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$3.7M
Raised
$3.4M
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$2.5M
Itemized · 75% of individual
2,415
Named donors
36%
Itemized from Michigan
By occupation
$935k
$277k
$109k
$63k
$57k
By state
$917k
$462k
$249k
$121k
$96k
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“a moratorium on new data center construction.”
“This is inhumane. We need immigration reform.”
“We need a pause on the development of advanced AI models”
On the ballot with them · Michigan, Nov 3, 2026
MI Senate · open seat
Abdul El-Sayed (D) · 69%
vs. Mike Rogers (R) · 31%
MI Governor · open seat
Jocelyn Benson (D) · 94%
vs. John James (R) · 9%
MI-1 · open seat
Jack Bergman (R) · 87%
vs. Callie Barr (D) · 14%
MI-2
John Moolenaar (R) · 98%
vs. Ben Ambrose (D) · 1%
MI-3
Hillary Scholten (D) · 95%
vs. Terri DeBoer (R) · 5%
MI-4
Sean McCann (D) · 52%
vs. Bill Huizenga (R) · 48%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll

William Lawrence
Candidate · U.S. House · Michigan
Democrat · Challenger73%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Barrett (R), inc.
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Housing and techLeft 37
Left, 37 points from center
Foreign policyLeft 45
Left, 45 points from center
Health careLeft 50
Left, 50 points from center
ImmigrationLeft 48
Left, 48 points from center
Budget and taxesLeft 40
Left, 40 points from center
Crime and justiceL-lean 15
L-lean, 15 points from center
Energy and landLeft 34
Left, 34 points from center
Civil rightsLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
TradeLeft 28
Left, 28 points from center
Business and laborRight 28
Right, 28 points from center
Federal powerL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
The race · MI-7 · 7 days out
William LawrenceDemocrat · challenger · Left 40 from statements73%
Tom BarrettRepublican · incumbent · Right 26 on the record29%4026
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 75% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“a moratorium on new data center construction.”
“This is inhumane. We need immigration reform.”
“We need a pause on the development of advanced AI models”
On the ballot with them · Michigan
MI Senate · open seatEl-Sayed (D) vs. Rogers (R)69% · 31%MI Governor · open seatBenson (D) vs. James (R)94% · 9%MI-1 · open seatBergman (R) vs. Barr (D)87% · 14%MI-2Moolenaar (R) vs. Ambrose (D)98% · 1%MI-3Scholten (D) vs. DeBoer (R)95% · 5%MI-4McCann (D) vs. Huizenga (R)52% · 48%
All 15 Michigan races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll