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U.S. Senate · Michigan · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed (Democrat) against Mike Rogers (Republican). El-Sayed is up 30 points on the markets since May.
Where they stand · 76 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Abdul El-SayedestimateMike Rogersestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedEl-Sayed$45.2MRogers$20.6MItemized, named donorsEl-Sayed$24MRogers$10MNamed donorsEl-Sayed28,607Rogers9,761Itemized from MichiganEl-Sayed31%Rogers22%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 6
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed | Kalshi | this candidate | 69% | 70% | 69% | $1,135,959 | Open ↗ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 68% | 69% | 69% | $4,263,113 | Open ↗ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 68% | 69% | 69% | $1,623,516 | Open ↗ |
| Mike Rogers | Kalshi | this candidate | 30% | 31% | 31% | $1,506,213 | Open ↗ |
| Mike Rogers | Kalshi | Republican wins | 31% | 32% | 32% | $5,731,730 | Open ↗ |
| Mike Rogers | Polymarket | Republican wins | 30% | 31% | 30% | $1,171,984 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Michigan ballot
All 14 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll