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Governor · Michigan · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Michigan Governor
Jocelyn Benson (Democrat) against John James (Republican). Benson is up 30 points on the markets since April.
Where they stand · 42 points apart
Benson is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Jocelyn BensonestimateJohn Jamesrecord
Money
Michigan Bureau of Elections to Oct 18RaisedBenson$15.9MJames$10.8MItemized, named donorsBenson$14MJames$10MNamed donorsBenson51,929James32,453Itemized from MichiganBenson59%James68%
Michigan Bureau of Elections names every donor, so Itemized is all the money from individuals. Loans don't count as raised.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Building a Michigan everyone can afford.”
“set a guaranteed $60,000 base salary for starting teachers” Benson · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
“Keep our kids in Michigan.”
“Jocelyn Benson & Abdul El-Sayed’s Democrat Agenda: ❌ Open our borders ❌ Eliminate the U.S. Senate ❌ Defund the Dept. of War ❌ Pack the Supreme Court This is the most RADICAL ticket in Michigan history.” James · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jocelyn Benson | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 92% | 92% | 92% | $113,798 | Open ↗ |
| Jocelyn Benson | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 92% | 93% | 94% | $178,029 | Open ↗ |
| John James | Kalshi | Republican wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | $278,234 | Open ↗ |
| John James | Polymarket | Republican wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | $251,511 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Michigan ballot
All 14 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll