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U.S. House · Michigan · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Michigan House, district 1
Jack Bergman (Republican) against Callie Barr (Democrat).
Where they stand · 40 points apart
Barr is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Jack BergmanrecordCallie Barrestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBergman$2.3MBarr$1.5MItemized, named donorsBergman$404kBarr$1MNamed donorsBergman476Barr897Itemized from MichiganBergman51%Barr82%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bergman | Kalshi | Republican wins | 87% | 88% | 87% | $13,384 | Open ↗ |
| Jack Bergman | Polymarket | Republican wins | 85% | 88% | 87% | $13,759 | Open ↗ |
| Callie Barr | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 13% | 14% | 14% | $14,816 | Open ↗ |
| Callie Barr | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 13% | 14% | 12% | $13,383 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Michigan ballot
All 14 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll