Steve Hilton
Candidate · Governor · California
Republican · Challenger4%
To win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
▼ 4 pts since April
Running for
OfficeGovernor
SeatCalifornia, statewide
AgainstXavier Becerra (D)
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
Websitestevehiltonforgovernor.com ↗
X@SteveHiltonx ↗ Campaign
Running statewide
California · Governor
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Policy Analyst, Political Consulant & Conservative Activist.
The campaign · in their wordsstevehiltonforgovernor.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
$3.00 Gas
“Steve will end the rules and fees that drove California gas prices through the roof and restore affordable energy.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Cut Utility Bills in Half
“Steve will take on the political mandates and failures that made electricity unaffordable.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
First $150,000 Tax Free
“Steve will let working Californians keep more of what they earn by eliminating state income tax on the first $150,000.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 91 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 12 statements
Right
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
Odds over time · Kalshi daily closes
Becerra (D) — 96%Hilton (R) — 4%
The race · California Governor · 7 days out
Xavier BecerraDemocrat · challenger · Left 36 from statements96%Steve HiltonRepublican · challenger · Right 41 from statements4%3641
77 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · California Secretary of State through Oct 17, 2026
$31.9M
Raised
Named donors · gifts of $100 or more
$25M
Itemized
53,128
Named donors
82%
Itemized from California
By occupation
$14M
$2.6M
$1.4M
$847k
$717k
By state
$20M
$557k
$526k
$502k
$262k
California Secretary of State names only donors who give $100 or more, so smaller gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“We WILL work with ICE. NO MORE sanctuary cities.”
“Pathway to citizenship = Amnesty = Totally unacceptable.”
“We’ll scrap that ridiculous fee, cut the unnecessary regulations”
On the ballot with them · California, Nov 3, 2026
CA-1
Mike McGuire (D) · 97%
vs. James Gallagher (R) · 6%
CA-2
Jared Huffman (D) · 98%
vs. Robin Littau (R) · <1%
CA-3
Ami Bera (D) · 95%
vs. Robb Tucker (R) · 3%
CA-4
Mike Thompson (D) · 71%
vs. Eric Jones (D) · 32%
CA-5
Tom McClintock (R) · 93%
vs. Michael Masuda (D) · 7%
CA-6
Richard Pan (D) · 95%
vs. Kevin Kiley (NPP) · 6%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Steve Hilton
Candidate · Governor · California
Republican · Challenger4%
To win · Kalshi
▼ 4 pts since April
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Becerra (D)
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“Enough is enough.”
Plank 1
$3.00 Gas
“Steve will end the rules and fees that drove California gas prices through the roof and restore affordable energy.”
Plank 2
Cut Utility Bills in Half
“Steve will take on the political mandates and failures that made electricity unaffordable.”
Plank 3
First $150,000 Tax Free
“Steve will let working Californians keep more of what they earn by eliminating state income tax on the first $150,000.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · stevehiltonforgovernor.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Energy and landRight 42
Right, 42 points from center
Budget and taxesRight 45
Right, 45 points from center
ImmigrationRight 45
Right, 45 points from center
Business and laborRight 43
Right, 43 points from center
Crime and justiceRight 40
Right, 40 points from center
EducationMixed
Mixed
Federal powerRight 45
Right, 45 points from center
GunsRight 45
Right, 45 points from center
Housing and techRight 35
Right, 35 points from center
Civil rightsRight 35
Right, 35 points from center
Health careRight 33
Right, 33 points from center
TradeRight 28
Right, 28 points from center
Foreign policyRight 33
Right, 33 points from center
Odds over time · Kalshi
Becerra 96%Hilton 4%
The race · CA Governor · 7 days out
Xavier BecerraDemocrat · challenger · Left 36 from statements96%Steve HiltonRepublican · challenger · Right 41 from statements4%3641
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · California Secretary of State through Oct 17, 2026
Raised, 2026
Itemized · gifts of $100 or more
Named donors
California Secretary of State names only donors who give $100 or more, so smaller gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“We WILL work with ICE. NO MORE sanctuary cities.”
“Pathway to citizenship = Amnesty = Totally unacceptable.”
“We’ll scrap that ridiculous fee, cut the unnecessary regulations”
On the ballot with them · California
CA-1McGuire (D) vs. Gallagher (R)97% · 6%CA-2Huffman (D) vs. Littau (R)98% · <1%CA-3Bera (D) vs. Tucker (R)95% · 3%CA-4Thompson (D) vs. Jones (D)71% · 32%CA-5McClintock (R) vs. Masuda (D)93% · 7%CA-6Pan (D) vs. Kiley (NPP)95% · 6%
All 53 California races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll