
Blake Gendebien
Candidate · U.S. House · New York
Democrat · Challenger33%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatNew York, district 21
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
The district
NY-21 · New York
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Dairy Farmer.
The campaign · in their wordsblakegendebienforcongress.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1 · campaign site
Lowering Costs
“That means repealing costly and unnecessary government regulations, supporting fair trade deals, bringing back American manufacturing, and strengthening our supply chains.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Immigration & Securing Our Border
“We need to make it harder to enter our country illegally, but easier to enter legally.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Supporting Farms and Small Businesses
“We must cut burdensome government regulations that drive up costs and make it harder to do business in rural America.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 4 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 5 statements
L-lean
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · New York House, district 21 · 7 days out
Anthony ConstantinoRepublican / Taxpayers Rights · challenger · Right 25 from statements68%
Blake GendebienDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 18 from statements33%2518
43 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$7.2M
Raised
$6.9M
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$3.8M
Itemized · 57% of individual
5,123
Named donors
57%
Itemized from New York
By occupation
$1.9M
$339k
$227k
$100k
$89k
By state
$2.2M
$304k
$218k
$111k
$86k
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“I support preserving access to safe, affordable contraception.”
“I am glad to see the House vote to extend Affordable Care Act subsidies.”
“Producers count on risk management tools to weather bad harvests and volatile markets”
On the ballot with them · New York, Nov 3, 2026
NY Governor
Kathy Hochul (D/WF) · 94%
vs. Bruce Blakeman (R/C/VA) · 6%
NY-1
Nick LaLota (R/C) · 78%
vs. Chris Gallant (D) · 21%
NY-2
Andrew Garbarino (R/C) · 80%
vs. Pat Halpin (D/WF) · 22%
NY-3
Tom Suozzi (D) · 90%
vs. Mike LiPetri (R/C) · 12%
NY-4
Laura Gillen (D) · 92%
vs. Jeanine Driscoll (R/C) · 9%
NY-5
Gregory Meeks (D) · 97%
vs. George Marsh (R/Queens United) · 1%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll

Blake Gendebien
Candidate · U.S. House · New York
Democrat · Challenger33%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Constantino (R/Taxpayers Rights)
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
Plank 1
Lowering Costs
“That means repealing costly and unnecessary government regulations, supporting fair trade deals, bringing back American manufacturing, and strengthening our supply chains.”
Plank 2
Immigration & Securing Our Border
“We need to make it harder to enter our country illegally, but easier to enter legally.”
Plank 3
Supporting Farms and Small Businesses
“We must cut burdensome government regulations that drive up costs and make it harder to do business in rural America.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · blakegendebienforcongress.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
Health careL-lean 20
L-lean, 20 points from center
Energy and landMixed
Mixed
Business and laborRight 28
Right, 28 points from center
ImmigrationMixed
Mixed
Crime and justiceL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
TradeL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
EducationL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
Budget and taxesMixed
Mixed
GunsL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
Foreign policyL-lean 20
L-lean, 20 points from center
Housing and techL-lean 15
L-lean, 15 points from center
The race · NY-21 · 7 days out
Anthony ConstantinoRepublican / Taxpayers Rights · challenger · Right 25 from statements68%
Blake GendebienDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 18 from statements33%2518
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 57% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“I support preserving access to safe, affordable contraception.”
“I am glad to see the House vote to extend Affordable Care Act subsidies.”
“Producers count on risk management tools to weather bad harvests and volatile markets”
On the ballot with them · New York
NY GovernorHochul (D/WF) vs. Blakeman (R/C/VA)94% · 6%NY-1LaLota (R/C) vs. Gallant (D)78% · 21%NY-2Garbarino (R/C) vs. Halpin (D/WF)80% · 22%NY-3Suozzi (D) vs. LiPetri (R/C)90% · 12%NY-4Gillen (D) vs. Driscoll (R/C)92% · 9%NY-5Meeks (D) vs. Marsh (R/Queens United)97% · 1%
All 27 New York races →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll