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U.S. House · New York · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New York House, district 21
Anthony Constantino (Republican / Taxpayers Rights) against Blake Gendebien (Democrat).
Where they stand · 43 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Anthony ConstantinoestimateBlake Gendebienestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedConstantino$14.5MGendebien$7.2MItemized, named donorsConstantino$0Gendebien$3.8MNamed donorsConstantino0Gendebien5,123Itemized from New YorkConstantino0%Gendebien57%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Constantino | Kalshi | Republican wins | 68% | 69% | 68% | $67,336 | Open ↗ |
| Anthony Constantino | Polymarket | Republican wins | 65% | 67% | 66% | $60,455 | Open ↗ |
| Blake Gendebien | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 33% | 34% | 33% | $113,290 | Open ↗ |
| Blake Gendebien | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 33% | 34% | 34% | $51,884 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New York ballot
All 26 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll