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U.S. House · New Jersey · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New Jersey House, district 9
Nellie Pou (Democrat, incumbent) against Rosie Pino (Republican).
Where they stand · 57 points apart
Pino is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Nellie PourecordRosie Pinoestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedPou$3.1MPino$539kItemized, named donorsPou$1.3MPino$175kNamed donorsPou1,140Pino337Itemized from New JerseyPou32%Pino55%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Committed to Serve”
“Protecting and expanding Medicare and Social Security has always been one of my top priorities. I am honored to have the support of the Alliance for Retired Americans.” Pou · X post · Oct 15 · ↗
“Battle-Tested Conservative Leader with a Winning Record”
“I’ll always back our police, lock up offenders” Pino · X post · Aug 1 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nellie Pou | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 95% | 98% | 96% | $12,576 | Open ↗ |
| Nellie Pou | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 94% | 98% | 96% | $26,418 | Open ↗ |
| Rosie Pino | Kalshi | Republican wins | 3% | 3% | 3% | $2,823 | Open ↗ |
| Rosie Pino | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | $21,357 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Jersey ballot
All 12 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll