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U.S. House · New Jersey · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New Jersey House, district 7
Rebecca Bennett (Democrat) against Tom Kean Jr. (Republican, incumbent).
Where they stand · 49 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Rebecca BennettestimateTom Kean Jr.estimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBennett$8.2MKean$5.9MItemized, named donorsBennett$5.9MKean$2.2MNamed donorsBennett4,436Kean1,251Itemized from New JerseyBennett41%Kean57%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“READY TO SERVE.”
“Pass commonsense, popular gun safety reforms to keep firearms out of the hands of those who shouldn’t have them” Bennett · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
“anti-Israel groups that want to restrict life-saving aid for Israel” Kean · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Bennett | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 93% | 94% | 93% | $132,251 | Open ↗ |
| Rebecca Bennett | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 93% | 94% | 95% | $27,245 | Open ↗ |
| Tom Kean Jr. | Kalshi | Republican wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | $93,828 | Open ↗ |
| Tom Kean Jr. | Polymarket | Republican wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | $25,902 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Jersey ballot
All 12 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll