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U.S. House · New Jersey · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New Jersey House, district 12
Adam Hamawy (Democrat) against Gregg Mele (Republican).
Where they stand · 62 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Adam HamawyestimateGregg Meleestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedHamawy$1.9MMele$96kItemized, named donorsHamawy$1.4MMele$20kNamed donorsHamawy1,308Mele17Itemized from New JerseyHamawy48%Mele67%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Hamawy | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $9,167 | Open ↗ |
| Adam Hamawy | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 97% | $21,096 | Open ↗ |
| Gregg Mele | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | $3,528 | Open ↗ |
| Gregg Mele | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | $9,322 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Jersey ballot
All 12 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll