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U.S. House · New Jersey · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New Jersey House, district 11
Analilia Mejia (Democrat, incumbent) against Joe Hathaway (Republican).
Where they stand · 57 points apart
Hathaway is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Analilia MejiarecordJoe Hathawayestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMejia$2.1MHathaway$807kItemized, named donorsMejia$994kHathaway$628kNamed donorsMejia1,201Hathaway466Itemized from New JerseyMejia49%Hathaway79%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Unbought. Unbossed. For All of Us.”
“Trump endorsing Benjamin Netanyahu tells us everything we need to know about both of these men. Netanyahu Kim Jong Un Orbán Putin This guy has a “type”…” Mejia · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“NEW JERSEY VALUES.”
“I will oppose reckless spending and budgets that drives up costs for families” Hathaway · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analilia Mejia | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 98% | $12,073 | Open ↗ |
| Analilia Mejia | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 96% | 96% | $23,655 | Open ↗ |
| Joe Hathaway | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | $5,975 | Open ↗ |
| Joe Hathaway | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | $23,906 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Jersey ballot
All 12 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll