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U.S. House · New Jersey · Nov 3 · 7 days out
New Jersey House, district 10
LaMonica McIver (Democrat, incumbent) against Carmen Bucco (Republican).
Where they stand · 70 points apart
Bucco is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
LaMonica McIverrecordCarmen Buccoestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMcIver$2.5MBucco$9kItemized, named donorsMcIver$592kBucco$4kNamed donorsMcIver1,028Bucco6Itemized from New JerseyMcIver39%Bucco100%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“FIGHTING TO PROTECT US”
“Do me a favor? Text your group chats and let them know early voting starts in 4️⃣ days!! Make a Plan to VOTE EARLY! 🗳️ Let’s go NJ-🔟!” McIver · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“CREATING JOBS AND BUILDING A STRONG ECONOMY”
“We must always support our police and first responders” Bucco · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMonica McIver | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 100% | >99% | $59 | Open ↗ |
| LaMonica McIver | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 99% | $20,220 | Open ↗ |
| Carmen Bucco | Kalshi | Republican wins | <1% | 3% | 3% | $1,516 | Open ↗ |
| Carmen Bucco | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 1% | $38,870 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the New Jersey ballot
All 12 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll